----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 1372.8608892372 Predicted improvement: 14455.528746233 lambda = 1; f = 574023201.5784702 lambda = 0.33333; f = 156533502.8491078 lambda = 0.11111; f = 108940895.8319973 lambda = 0.037037; f = 1004.1549011 Norm of dx 1.7003 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 1 = 368.705988168 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 1004.1549010696 Predicted improvement: 434.638926097 lambda = 1; f = 1168.8039298 lambda = 0.33333; f = 962.0744171 lambda = 0.11111; f = 955.5841713 Norm of dx 0.29937 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 2 = 48.570729797 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 955.5841712723 Predicted improvement: 100.484109779 lambda = 1; f = 104436136.0294988 lambda = 0.33333; f = 100444743.9461645 lambda = 0.11111; f = 938.7609336 lambda = 0.2148; f = 935.0314031 Norm of dx 0.15669 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 3 = 20.552768163 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 935.0314031098 Predicted improvement: 72.673464902 lambda = 1; f = 101021953.7804946 lambda = 0.33333; f = 919.6449214 Norm of dx 0.15358 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 4 = 15.386481708 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 919.6449214023 Predicted improvement: 27.236643387 lambda = 1; f = 914.7902409 lambda = 0.33333; f = 909.1452737 Norm of dx 0.082815 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 5 = 10.499647715 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 909.1452736876 Predicted improvement: 4.375524818 lambda = 1; f = 902.9050653 lambda = 1.9332; f = 901.5875759 Norm of dx 0.032682 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 6 = 7.557697752 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 901.5875759357 Predicted improvement: 1.389888377 lambda = 1; f = 899.2406206 lambda = 1.9332; f = 897.7918739 lambda = 3.7372; f = 896.8682528 Norm of dx 0.015045 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 7 = 4.719323118 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 896.8682528178 Predicted improvement: 1.462170848 lambda = 1; f = 894.2795841 lambda = 1.9332; f = 892.4745223 lambda = 3.7372; f = 890.7021286 Norm of dx 0.029339 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 8 = 6.166124178 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 890.7021286401 Predicted improvement: 2.846336430 lambda = 1; f = 885.7285167 lambda = 1.9332; f = 882.3960721 lambda = 3.7372; f = 879.7141806 Norm of dx 0.068641 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 9 = 10.987948079 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 879.7141805616 Predicted improvement: 2.616046776 lambda = 1; f = 875.5837839 lambda = 1.9332; f = 873.7102762 Norm of dx 0.035039 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 10 = 6.003904337 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 873.7102762242 Predicted improvement: 1.993634679 lambda = 1; f = 870.5603391 lambda = 1.9332; f = 869.2345565 Norm of dx 0.061461 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 11 = 4.475719737 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 869.2345564874 Predicted improvement: 2.071787415 lambda = 1; f = 865.9647925 lambda = 1.9332; f = 864.5988101 Norm of dx 0.06942 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 12 = 4.635746430 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 864.5988100576 Predicted improvement: 1.458611378 lambda = 1; f = 862.4194950 lambda = 1.9332; f = 861.6522387 Norm of dx 0.034625 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 13 = 2.946571380 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 861.6522386778 Predicted improvement: 0.500972406 lambda = 1; f = 860.8736176 lambda = 1.9332; f = 860.5401879 Norm of dx 0.013561 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 14 = 1.112050749 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 860.5401879287 Predicted improvement: 0.303843734 lambda = 1; f = 860.0866860 lambda = 1.9332; f = 859.9501014 Norm of dx 0.023098 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 15 = 0.590086556 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 859.9501013727 Predicted improvement: 0.181079971 lambda = 1; f = 859.6744715 lambda = 1.9332; f = 859.5755538 Norm of dx 0.011491 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 16 = 0.374547622 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 859.5755537502 Predicted improvement: 0.191195071 lambda = 1; f = 859.2644696 lambda = 1.9332; f = 859.1026023 Norm of dx 0.012993 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 17 = 0.472951490 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 859.1026022605 Predicted improvement: 0.268888852 lambda = 1; f = 858.7012387 lambda = 1.9332; f = 858.5753083 Norm of dx 0.02467 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 18 = 0.527293994 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 858.5753082668 Predicted improvement: 0.155157306 lambda = 1; f = 858.3211351 lambda = 1.9332; f = 858.1849187 Norm of dx 0.011646 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 19 = 0.390389518 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 858.1849187490 Predicted improvement: 0.271471653 lambda = 1; f = 857.7843416 lambda = 1.9332; f = 857.6705427 Norm of dx 0.028297 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 20 = 0.514376080 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 857.6705426690 Predicted improvement: 0.141379853 lambda = 1; f = 857.4338113 lambda = 1.9332; f = 857.2961426 Norm of dx 0.012534 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 21 = 0.374400104 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 857.2961425649 Predicted improvement: 0.188370095 lambda = 1; f = 857.0325235 Norm of dx 0.026553 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 22 = 0.263619115 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 857.0325234502 Predicted improvement: 0.118084883 lambda = 1; f = 856.8776135 Norm of dx 0.02115 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 23 = 0.154909906 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.8776135440 Predicted improvement: 0.051739053 lambda = 1; f = 856.8012965 lambda = 1.9332; f = 856.7787126 Norm of dx 0.0098738 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 24 = 0.098900933 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.7787126109 Predicted improvement: 0.033264307 lambda = 1; f = 856.7211148 lambda = 1.9332; f = 856.6835066 lambda = 3.7372; f = 856.6550321 Norm of dx 0.0029971 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 25 = 0.123680535 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.6550320755 Predicted improvement: 0.047232665 lambda = 1; f = 856.5968107 Norm of dx 0.0070182 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 26 = 0.058221378 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.5968106980 Predicted improvement: 0.033662299 lambda = 1; f = 856.5452720 lambda = 1.9332; f = 856.5257017 Norm of dx 0.012945 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 27 = 0.071108961 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.5257017373 Predicted improvement: 0.022098887 lambda = 1; f = 856.4875415 lambda = 1.9332; f = 856.4628146 lambda = 3.7372; f = 856.4446231 Norm of dx 0.0052452 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 28 = 0.081078600 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.4446231370 Predicted improvement: 0.030774307 lambda = 1; f = 856.3903742 lambda = 1.9332; f = 856.3530086 lambda = 3.7372; f = 856.3173701 Norm of dx 0.0056305 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 29 = 0.127253078 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.3173700587 Predicted improvement: 0.051172117 lambda = 1; f = 856.2329131 lambda = 1.9332; f = 856.1863817 Norm of dx 0.015078 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 30 = 0.130988349 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.1863817101 Predicted improvement: 0.063781532 lambda = 1; f = 856.0908021 lambda = 1.9332; f = 856.0595997 Norm of dx 0.027094 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 31 = 0.126781986 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 856.0595997242 Predicted improvement: 0.039509461 lambda = 1; f = 855.9924058 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.9510216 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.9292253 Norm of dx 0.0053457 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 32 = 0.130374444 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.9292252805 Predicted improvement: 0.024917564 lambda = 1; f = 855.8901584 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.8733883 Norm of dx 0.0048433 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 33 = 0.055836973 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.8733883075 Predicted improvement: 0.018347447 lambda = 1; f = 855.8447105 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.8325387 Norm of dx 0.0070347 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 34 = 0.040849570 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.8325387379 Predicted improvement: 0.013309505 lambda = 1; f = 855.8109542 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.7998830 Norm of dx 0.0075943 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 35 = 0.032655784 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.7998829543 Predicted improvement: 0.011790462 lambda = 1; f = 855.7822144 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.7763349 Norm of dx 0.0042208 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 36 = 0.023548032 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.7763349218 Predicted improvement: 0.007821207 lambda = 1; f = 855.7618703 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.7504877 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.7342657 lambda = 7.2247; f = 855.7244745 Norm of dx 0.002223 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 37 = 0.051860404 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.7244745180 Predicted improvement: 0.018844715 lambda = 1; f = 855.6932311 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.6756702 Norm of dx 0.0067471 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 38 = 0.048804282 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.6756702357 Predicted improvement: 0.020154463 lambda = 1; f = 855.6469797 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.6413304 Norm of dx 0.016946 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 39 = 0.034339818 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.6413304176 Predicted improvement: 0.010657435 lambda = 1; f = 855.6233617 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.6126458 Norm of dx 0.0028767 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 40 = 0.028684599 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.6126458186 Predicted improvement: 0.013083740 lambda = 1; f = 855.5951830 Norm of dx 0.007258 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 41 = 0.017462826 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.5951829930 Predicted improvement: 0.006318196 lambda = 1; f = 855.5859352 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.5834724 Norm of dx 0.0068493 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 42 = 0.011710593 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.5834724002 Predicted improvement: 0.003544660 lambda = 1; f = 855.5773027 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.5731936 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.5697434 Norm of dx 0.0010116 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 43 = 0.013728961 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.5697434392 Predicted improvement: 0.003954848 lambda = 1; f = 855.5624660 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.5568123 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.5489987 lambda = 7.2247; f = 855.5455532 Norm of dx 0.0036359 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 44 = 0.024190242 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.5455531972 Predicted improvement: 0.012924828 lambda = 1; f = 855.5223384 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.5053987 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.4855337 Norm of dx 0.0035542 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 45 = 0.060019482 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.4855337154 Predicted improvement: 0.040024177 lambda = 1; f = 855.4185298 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.3792299 Norm of dx 0.029174 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 46 = 0.106303823 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.3792298922 Predicted improvement: 0.041330557 lambda = 1; f = 855.3288677 Norm of dx 0.052986 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 47 = 0.050362241 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.3288676513 Predicted improvement: 0.006769994 lambda = 1; f = 855.3192062 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.3171305 Norm of dx 0.014159 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 48 = 0.011737200 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.3171304516 Predicted improvement: 0.004013389 lambda = 1; f = 855.3095432 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.3032617 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.2933022 lambda = 7.2247; f = 855.2821961 Norm of dx 0.0034246 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 49 = 0.034934332 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.2821961195 Predicted improvement: 0.022303260 lambda = 1; f = 855.2427493 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.2153121 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.1883005 Norm of dx 0.017108 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 50 = 0.093895598 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.1883005216 Predicted improvement: 0.036043638 lambda = 1; f = 855.1315874 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.1068178 Norm of dx 0.046587 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 51 = 0.081482742 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.1068177797 Predicted improvement: 0.022485449 lambda = 1; f = 855.0682937 lambda = 1.9332; f = 855.0439406 lambda = 3.7372; f = 855.0284372 Norm of dx 0.02409 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 52 = 0.078380549 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 855.0284372305 Predicted improvement: 0.037880724 lambda = 1; f = 854.9645499 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.9265794 Norm of dx 0.013896 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 53 = 0.101857830 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.9265794009 Predicted improvement: 0.032849502 lambda = 1; f = 854.8849485 Norm of dx 0.035496 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 54 = 0.041630951 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.8849484503 Predicted improvement: 0.014665895 lambda = 1; f = 854.8604443 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.8462756 Norm of dx 0.023229 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 55 = 0.038672886 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.8462755641 Predicted improvement: 0.025289764 lambda = 1; f = 854.8080245 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.7946588 Norm of dx 0.028939 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 56 = 0.051616734 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.7946588300 Predicted improvement: 0.011731592 lambda = 1; f = 854.7756037 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.7657862 Norm of dx 0.0089838 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 57 = 0.028872614 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.7657862155 Predicted improvement: 0.012812237 lambda = 1; f = 854.7428115 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.7261751 lambda = 3.7372; f = 854.7072710 Norm of dx 0.0041978 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 58 = 0.058515256 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.7072709598 Predicted improvement: 0.048382517 lambda = 1; f = 854.6171223 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.5448278 lambda = 3.7372; f = 854.4370849 lambda = 7.2247; f = 854.3470011 Norm of dx 0.036344 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 59 = 0.360269886 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.3470010741 Predicted improvement: 0.135702074 lambda = 1; f = 854.1552774 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.1252593 Norm of dx 0.1159 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 60 = 0.221741772 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.1252593023 Predicted improvement: 0.021365005 lambda = 1; f = 854.0991741 Norm of dx 0.058655 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 61 = 0.026085219 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.0991740832 Predicted improvement: 0.010391870 lambda = 1; f = 854.0806679 lambda = 1.9332; f = 854.0675216 lambda = 3.7372; f = 854.0534847 Norm of dx 0.0044537 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 62 = 0.045689403 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 854.0534846800 Predicted improvement: 0.033972244 lambda = 1; f = 853.9899099 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.9382997 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.8590264 lambda = 7.2247; f = 853.7792095 Norm of dx 0.034929 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 63 = 0.274275226 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.7792094544 Predicted improvement: 0.113893692 lambda = 1; f = 853.6168345 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.5945384 Norm of dx 0.16119 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 64 = 0.184671029 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.5945384258 Predicted improvement: 0.071514212 lambda = 1; f = 853.5145140 Norm of dx 0.13965 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 65 = 0.080024411 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.5145140151 Predicted improvement: 0.025777495 lambda = 1; f = 853.4813873 Norm of dx 0.032271 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 66 = 0.033126760 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.4813872551 Predicted improvement: 0.013539781 lambda = 1; f = 853.4635879 Norm of dx 0.009897 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 67 = 0.017799324 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.4635879316 Predicted improvement: 0.008083799 lambda = 1; f = 853.4506497 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.4443327 Norm of dx 0.018536 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 68 = 0.019255237 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.4443326944 Predicted improvement: 0.011706152 lambda = 1; f = 853.4228646 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.4063030 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.3837990 Norm of dx 0.018331 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 69 = 0.060533731 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.3837989633 Predicted improvement: 0.054159138 lambda = 1; f = 853.2970928 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.2547414 Norm of dx 0.044432 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 70 = 0.129057608 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.2547413554 Predicted improvement: 0.043327318 lambda = 1; f = 853.1971724 Norm of dx 0.018048 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 71 = 0.057568979 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1971723768 Predicted improvement: 0.011077136 lambda = 1; f = 853.1854372 Norm of dx 0.0083713 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 72 = 0.011735188 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1854371891 Predicted improvement: 0.000743573 lambda = 1; f = 853.1843013 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1838781 Norm of dx 0.0022695 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 73 = 0.001559117 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1838780721 Predicted improvement: 0.001082349 lambda = 1; f = 853.1818660 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1802642 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1779234 lambda = 7.2247; f = 853.1762304 Norm of dx 0.0030978 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 74 = 0.007647709 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1762303630 Predicted improvement: 0.005492130 lambda = 1; f = 853.1664380 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1594379 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1517321 Norm of dx 0.0045773 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 75 = 0.024498270 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1517320935 Predicted improvement: 0.002615211 lambda = 1; f = 853.1488925 Norm of dx 0.0069014 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 76 = 0.002839643 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1488924507 Predicted improvement: 0.000115335 lambda = 1; f = 853.1487114 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1486328 Norm of dx 0.0005966 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 77 = 0.000259644 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1486328063 Predicted improvement: 0.000147208 lambda = 1; f = 853.1483524 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1481169 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1477333 lambda = 7.2247; f = 853.1472607 Norm of dx 0.00079538 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 78 = 0.001372147 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1472606592 Predicted improvement: 0.001338206 lambda = 1; f = 853.1448749 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1431795 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1413602 Norm of dx 0.0030912 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 79 = 0.005900414 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1413602457 Predicted improvement: 0.002505511 lambda = 1; f = 853.1377561 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1369262 Norm of dx 0.0061648 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 80 = 0.004434067 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1369261785 Predicted improvement: 0.000266667 lambda = 1; f = 853.1365846 Norm of dx 0.0036265 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 81 = 0.000341608 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1365845700 Predicted improvement: 0.000105234 lambda = 1; f = 853.1364103 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1363128 Norm of dx 0.00093127 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 82 = 0.000271759 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1363128113 Predicted improvement: 0.000225102 lambda = 1; f = 853.1359020 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1355907 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1351864 Norm of dx 0.00078534 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 83 = 0.001126381 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1351864300 Predicted improvement: 0.001071290 lambda = 1; f = 853.1332746 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1319130 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1304433 Norm of dx 0.0038437 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 84 = 0.004743143 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1304432875 Predicted improvement: 0.002378061 lambda = 1; f = 853.1267454 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1252129 Norm of dx 0.010433 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 85 = 0.005230383 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1252129046 Predicted improvement: 0.000505237 lambda = 1; f = 853.1245482 Norm of dx 0.0019786 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 86 = 0.000664732 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1245481722 Predicted improvement: 0.000269075 lambda = 1; f = 853.1240900 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1238048 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1236432 Norm of dx 0.0010157 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 87 = 0.000904976 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1236431959 Predicted improvement: 0.000645343 lambda = 1; f = 853.1223697 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.1212131 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.1190646 lambda = 7.2247; f = 853.1152373 lambda = 13.967; f = 853.1090579 lambda = 27; f = 853.1016730 Norm of dx 0.0017496 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 88 = 0.021970154 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.1016730415 Predicted improvement: 0.013554001 lambda = 1; f = 853.0815979 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.0756085 Norm of dx 0.058537 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 89 = 0.026064577 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.0756084644 Predicted improvement: 0.002045288 lambda = 1; f = 853.0729989 Norm of dx 0.0042131 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 90 = 0.002609613 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.0729988512 Predicted improvement: 0.000627235 lambda = 1; f = 853.0719882 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.0714901 Norm of dx 0.0022081 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 91 = 0.001508751 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.0714900998 Predicted improvement: 0.001066311 lambda = 1; f = 853.0694660 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.0677751 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.0650488 lambda = 7.2247; f = 853.0618095 Norm of dx 0.0041477 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 92 = 0.009680560 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.0618095397 Predicted improvement: 0.009232253 lambda = 1; f = 853.0448060 lambda = 1.9332; f = 853.0315843 lambda = 3.7372; f = 853.0133366 lambda = 7.2247; f = 853.0058614 Norm of dx 0.039079 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 93 = 0.055948185 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 853.0058613544 Predicted improvement: 0.024337858 lambda = 1; f = 852.9714250 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9649868 Norm of dx 0.017806 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 94 = 0.040874513 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9649868414 Predicted improvement: 0.002231461 lambda = 1; f = 852.9623720 Norm of dx 0.03017 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 95 = 0.002614870 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9623719715 Predicted improvement: 0.000457406 lambda = 1; f = 852.9615502 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9609499 lambda = 3.7372; f = 852.9602462 Norm of dx 0.0075544 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 96 = 0.002125769 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9602462029 Predicted improvement: 0.001861897 lambda = 1; f = 852.9567285 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9538123 lambda = 3.7372; f = 852.9491746 lambda = 7.2247; f = 852.9439275 Norm of dx 0.012622 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 97 = 0.016318659 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9439275435 Predicted improvement: 0.011142824 lambda = 1; f = 852.9256730 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9159339 Norm of dx 0.029559 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 98 = 0.027993643 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9159339004 Predicted improvement: 0.005907907 lambda = 1; f = 852.9093460 Norm of dx 0.011601 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 99 = 0.006587927 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9093459738 Predicted improvement: 0.000215348 lambda = 1; f = 852.9091000 Norm of dx 0.0032604 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 100 = 0.000246022 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9090999516 Predicted improvement: 0.000016550 lambda = 1; f = 852.9090719 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9090565 Norm of dx 0.00030345 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 101 = 0.000043467 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9090564850 Predicted improvement: 0.000031152 lambda = 1; f = 852.9089988 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9089544 lambda = 3.7372; f = 852.9088945 Norm of dx 0.0007925 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 102 = 0.000161979 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9088945062 Predicted improvement: 0.000162972 lambda = 1; f = 852.9086094 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9084175 lambda = 3.7372; f = 852.9082498 Norm of dx 0.0021373 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 103 = 0.000644674 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9082498319 Predicted improvement: 0.000280196 lambda = 1; f = 852.9078172 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9076363 Norm of dx 0.0024138 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 104 = 0.000613558 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9076362735 Predicted improvement: 0.000018183 lambda = 1; f = 852.9076191 Norm of dx 0.0020506 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 105 = 0.000017167 ----------------- ----------------- f at the beginning of new iteration, 852.9076191066 Predicted improvement: 0.000000028 lambda = 1; f = 852.9076191 lambda = 1.9332; f = 852.9076191 Norm of dx 1.2783e-05 ih = 1 ---- Improvement on iteration 106 = 0.000000043 improvement < crit termination Objective function at mode: 852.907619 Objective function at mode: 852.907619 RESULTS FROM POSTERIOR MAXIMIZATION parameters prior mean mode s.d. t-stat prior pstdev crhoa 0.500 0.9610 0.0100 95.7323 beta 0.2000 crhob 0.500 0.1705 0.0823 2.0714 beta 0.2000 crhog 0.500 0.9737 0.0085 114.4778 beta 0.2000 crhoqs 0.500 0.7041 0.0594 11.8511 beta 0.2000 crhoms 0.500 0.1523 0.0721 2.1109 beta 0.2000 crhopinf 0.500 0.9398 0.0311 30.2068 beta 0.2000 crhow 0.500 0.9795 0.0090 109.1422 beta 0.2000 cmap 0.500 0.7420 0.0826 8.9877 beta 0.2000 cmaw 0.500 0.8083 0.0842 9.6044 beta 0.2000 csadjcost 4.000 5.1665 1.0195 5.0679 norm 1.5000 csigma 1.500 1.3858 0.1314 10.5437 norm 0.3750 chabb 0.700 0.7065 0.0432 16.3590 beta 0.1000 cprobw 0.500 0.8127 0.0479 16.9697 beta 0.1000 csigl 2.000 1.3475 0.5415 2.4884 norm 0.7500 cprobp 0.500 0.8087 0.0312 25.9219 beta 0.1000 cindw 0.500 0.6372 0.1309 4.8683 beta 0.1500 cindp 0.500 0.2443 0.0948 2.5780 beta 0.1500 czcap 0.500 0.5897 0.1161 5.0813 beta 0.1500 cfc 1.250 1.6014 0.0781 20.5101 norm 0.1250 crpi 1.500 2.0516 0.1759 11.6625 norm 0.2500 crr 0.750 0.7955 0.0269 29.5778 beta 0.1000 cry 0.125 0.0889 0.0228 3.8950 norm 0.0500 crdy 0.125 0.2171 0.0288 7.5479 norm 0.0500 constepinf 0.625 0.7612 0.1106 6.8848 gamm 0.1000 constebeta 0.250 0.1425 0.0549 2.5944 gamm 0.1000 constelab 0.000 0.7037 1.0835 0.6495 norm 2.0000 ctrend 0.400 0.4337 0.0141 30.7639 norm 0.1000 cgy 0.500 0.5270 0.0887 5.9411 norm 0.2500 calfa 0.300 0.1924 0.0174 11.0517 norm 0.0500 standard deviation of shocks prior mean mode s.d. t-stat prior pstdev ea 0.100 0.4525 0.0277 16.3133 invg 2.0000 eb 0.100 0.2439 0.0230 10.5901 invg 2.0000 eg 0.100 0.5202 0.0299 17.3776 invg 2.0000 eqs 0.100 0.4630 0.0489 9.4649 invg 2.0000 em 0.100 0.2439 0.0153 15.9250 invg 2.0000 epinf 0.100 0.1422 0.0166 8.5710 invg 2.0000 ew 0.100 0.2586 0.0245 10.5581 invg 2.0000 Log data density [Laplace approximation] is -934.979787. MODEL SUMMARY Number of variables: 40 Number of stochastic shocks: 7 Number of state variables: 20 Number of jumpers: 12 Number of static variables: 14 MATRIX OF COVARIANCE OF EXOGENOUS SHOCKS Variables ea eb eg em epinf eqs ew ea 0.204767 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 eb 0.000000 0.059494 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 eg 0.000000 0.000000 0.270620 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 em 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.059492 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 epinf 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.020215 0.000000 0.000000 eqs 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.214374 0.000000 ew 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.066886 POLICY AND TRANSITION FUNCTIONS dy pinfobs robs Constant 0.433668 0.761239 1.511765 a (-1) 0.257990 -0.159921 -0.158845 b (-1) 0.285326 0.021011 0.075960 epinfma(-1) 1.902467 -2.994241 -0.808817 ewma (-1) 1.417436 -2.113517 -0.553367 g (-1) 0.925317 0.034942 0.047115 kp (-1) -0.064797 -0.030994 -0.028254 kpf (-1) 0.007978 0.005441 0.006851 ms (-1) -0.109822 -0.034284 0.112036 qs (-1) 0.451051 0.074270 0.053941 r (-1) -0.495244 -0.147071 0.617199 spinf (-1) -2.409616 3.792429 1.024426 sw (-1) -1.717648 2.561158 0.670569 y (-1) -0.864809 0.040147 -0.168482 yf (-1) -0.135191 -0.040147 0.168482 c (-1) 0.477341 0.020594 0.120971 cf (-1) 0.017074 -0.002483 -0.081831 inve (-1) 0.153924 0.008359 0.039729 invef (-1) 0.009539 0.000921 -0.025206 pinf (-1) -0.070060 0.255369 0.090677 w (-1) 0.008432 0.079514 0.035351 ea 0.769234 -0.147497 -0.139790 eb 1.673362 0.123224 0.445488 eg 0.950284 0.035885 0.048386 em -0.721252 -0.225158 0.735788 epinf -0.842814 1.672079 0.503342 eqs 0.640606 0.105482 0.076610 ew -0.292614 0.588061 0.177916 THEORETICAL MOMENTS VARIABLE MEAN STD. DEV. VARIANCE dy 0.4337 0.9517 0.9057 pinfobs 0.7612 0.6287 0.3953 robs 1.5118 0.6737 0.4538 VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION (in percent) ea eb eg eqs em epinf ew dy 17.37 21.14 28.46 14.77 5.20 4.54 8.50 pinfobs 3.77 0.96 0.87 4.68 5.37 22.40 61.95 robs 8.52 7.04 3.09 17.69 12.41 7.48 43.77 MATRIX OF CORRELATIONS Variables dy pinfobs robs dy 1.0000 -0.2244 -0.2151 pinfobs -0.2244 1.0000 0.7200 robs -0.2151 0.7200 1.0000 COEFFICIENTS OF AUTOCORRELATION Order 1 2 3 4 5 dy 0.2788 0.1589 0.0900 0.0430 0.0102 pinfobs 0.8617 0.7514 0.6599 0.5843 0.5228 robs 0.9181 0.8192 0.7279 0.6483 0.5809