Figure 1, The Government Consumption Wedge is the sum of real government consumption plus real exports less real imports, all divided by the population between ages 15 and 64, normalized by first dividing by real GDP in 1994:4 and then multiplying by 100. Note that the quarterly data has been seasonally adjusted. Mexican Net Exports is the real exports less real imports, divided by the population between ages 15 and 64, normalized by first dividing by real GDP in 1994:4 and then multiplying by 100. Note that the quarterly data has been seasonally adjusted. Figure 2, Mexican Real GDP is real GDP divided by the population between ages 15 and 64, normalized so that the value in 1994:4 is 100. Model Output From a Sudden Stop is the predicted output response assuming the only shock in the prototype growth model is the shock to government consumption, with realizations of the shock from Mexican data. (For more details, go to ftp://ftp.mpls.frb.fed.us/pub/research/mcgrattan/aea05/bca)